Ever since Ben Affleck (and to a lesser extent Kathryn Bigelow) was denied a nomination in the Best Director shortlist, it's been all about crazy theories about who is going to win the Oscar. You see, every major awards body with a "Best Director" category has given it to Affleck, which means it is really anyone's game at the Oscars. Die-hard Affleck supporters (of which there are many) will surely cry as to how this is ridiculous and unfair, but I for one am enjoying at least one category in which we have no idea what is going to happen. Wouldn't it be much more fun if the Oscar race always played out int his way?
As I wrote above, crazy theories about who's going to win abound and while some of them make for truly mind-blowing scenarios (what if first time director Behn Zeitlin does win for Beasts of the Southern Wild?), the majority of the internet is keeping a cool head and saying this is probably Steven Spielberg's to lose. Yes, the Academy does like Steven quite a lot (he's won Best Director twice), but despite the twelve nominations, there doesn't seem to be much enthusiasm for Lincoln. On the other hand, there is nothing but enthusiasm and passionate debate surrounding David O . Russell's Silver Linings Playbook. There are suddenly hundreds of writing about how it is a bad film and you should know that when the internet suddenly turns on a movie, it means it is in the front-running position.
What about a Michael Haneke win? Foreign language films never win in this category, but this is such a crazy year I'm willing to say why not? And in that case, why not Ang Lee? He's the one guy that's been consistently nominated by every awards body (even Spielberg missed out on a BAFTA nomination) and he is (with good reason) a very well regarded director. There is also little question that his Life of Pi is a showcase for his directorial vision. I may not be a fan of the movie, but I am a fan of Ang. He has previously won for the beautiful Brokeback Mountain and I don't see why a second Oscar would be out of the question.
Will Win: Ang Lee - Life of Pi
Should Win: Michael Haneke - Amour