Wednesday, September 19, 2012

2012 Emmy Award Predictions: Drama Series

This is it. The last entry in our predictions' circle. First, let me remember you that we are live-blogging the awards ceremony on Sunday. So tune in if you want some comments on the awards, which by the way will be airing on ABC.

Like I said on the previous post, in the series races, voters don't tend to pay that much attention to episode submissions, so shows with a lot of buzz and love across the board are usually the winners (Or at least have been so far). Here are the nominees...

Boardwalk Empire (HBO)
Breaking Bad (AMC)
Downton Abbey (PBS)
Game of Thrones (HBO)
Homeland (Showtime)
Mad Men (AMC)

Will Win: The big question this year regards the reigning champ. Last year, 'Mad Men' won its fourth trophy in this category, tying up 'Hill Street Blues' and 'The West Wing' for the most wins in the category. If it wins this year for a fifth consecutive year, it would break the record. The win is certainly likely, but considering the previous wins and a season that has divided audiences and critics, voters may experience 'Mad Men' fatigue, I say this time, someone else wins. 

'Boardwalk Empire' and 'Game of Thrones' are out. They just are. The three legitimate contenders for the crown are as follows: There is a case to be made for 'Breaking Bad', its last season was certainly flashy and it was airing new episodes during the voting period, so it was very much in the cultural zeitgeist. I think the violence and dark theme of the show will prevent it from the win, though. Then you have 'Homeland', the breakout show of the season and a terrific one at that. It may very well be its year and I would predicting it for the win, except...

There's 'Downton Abbey'. The Emmys went gaga for the show last year when it competed as a miniseries, then the whole world (in no small part thanks to Patton Oswalt twitted watch of the show) caught up to the pleasures of 'Downton' and anglo-fever broke lose. Suddenly, everyone was talking about the british show. If the popularity and 'cool-factor' of the program weren't enough, you just have to take a look at how many nominations the Emmys threw in the show's direction. I am expecting a 'Downton'-fest on Sunday. 

Should Win: If you asked me, I really couldn't choose between 'Breaking Bad' and 'Mad Men', which both had terrific seasons. Considering 'Mad Men' has won this award so many times already, I'd go with 'Breaking Bad'. 'Homeland' is a very close third place.

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